Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.035026 0.040835 0.047228 0.054775 0.063430 0.073034 0.084487
2025-08-10 0.025223 0.032499 0.041256 0.052530 0.066614 0.083575 0.105495
2025-08-17 0.019058 0.026830 0.036950 0.050997 0.069880 0.094256 0.127958
2025-08-24 0.015257 0.023242 0.034390 0.050920 0.074595 0.107033 0.154527
2025-08-31 0.012130 0.019873 0.031394 0.049530 0.077033 0.116764 0.177960
2025-09-07 0.010612 0.018539 0.031014 0.051701 0.084655 0.134473 0.214584
2025-09-14 0.008980 0.016679 0.029456 0.051708 0.088827 0.147353 0.245283
2025-09-21 0.007444 0.014669 0.027283 0.050302 0.090409 0.156199 0.270441
2025-09-28 0.006343 0.013211 0.025785 0.049745 0.093197 0.167097 0.299828
2025-10-05 0.005888 0.012876 0.026212 0.052601 0.102145 0.189068 0.349771
2025-10-12 0.005376 0.012328 0.026144 0.054492 0.109517 0.208971 0.397971
2025-10-19 0.004588 0.011061 0.024476 0.053066 0.110500 0.217531 0.426745
2025-10-26 0.003984 0.010091 0.023292 0.052489 0.113153 0.229622 0.463599
2025-11-02 0.003374 0.008993 0.021664 0.050763 0.113306 0.237019 0.492414
2025-11-09 0.002894 0.008104 0.020345 0.049493 0.114206 0.245897 0.524888
2025-11-16 0.002571 0.007539 0.019666 0.049526 0.117829 0.260488 0.569936
2025-11-23 0.002215 0.006812 0.018483 0.048226 0.118366 0.268788 0.602970
2025-11-30 0.002088 0.006684 0.018745 0.050373 0.126862 0.294522 0.674401
2025-12-07 0.001871 0.006253 0.018169 0.050394 0.130456 0.310074 0.725639
2025-12-14 0.001621 0.005672 0.017105 0.049029 0.130597 0.318046 0.761172
2025-12-21 0.001437 0.005251 0.016401 0.048488 0.132655 0.330472 0.807577
2025-12-28 0.001391 0.005267 0.016921 0.051279 0.143313 0.363516 0.903135
2026-01-04 0.001316 0.005166 0.017088 0.053128 0.151774 0.392173 0.990975